May 16, 2012
Brief Information about Foreign Exchange Rate Movement
New York Market
EUR/USD closed lower to 1.2729, near the lowest level in four months, although euro climbed from 4-month low after German’s economy strengthened in 1Q. Germany’s preliminary GDP for 1Q increased more than expected while GDP in the eurozone did not changed (0.0% mom, 0.0% yoy). However, investors again worried about the eurozone
debt crisis after Greece failed to agree on the forming of the government yesterday which resulting in another election in June. Thus, investors worried that the leftist party would get higher vote and as a result Greece may not follow an agreement in the bailout.
USD/JPY closed higher to 80.18. Dollar Index moved higher from 80.60 to 81.22 yesterday as investors demanded US dollar amid the concern about Greece political issue and exit to the eurozone. Meanwhile, Japan consumer confidence slightly declined from 40.3 in March to 40.0 in April.
Asian Market
Asian Currency mostly recovered yesterday due to buying flow from investors following favorable economic data from Germany. Preliminary report said German GDP expanded 0.5% in Q1 from the previous quarter, which was higher than market expectation. However, the recovery in Asian currencies was limited as investors were concern about situation in the eurozone debt crisis.
USD/THB closed slightly lower to 31.35 (Reuters = 31.30). Thai baht recovered from the loss yesterday in line with other regional currencies. However the recovery was limited due to continuing concern over the eurozone debt crisis. Baht weakened this morning after Greek politicians failed to agree on the government forming in yesterday meeting.
Today Market Direction at 8.30 A.M.
|
KBank Technical Analysis |
Morning
Rate |
Support |
Resistance |
Trend (Major) |
Today's Strategy |
|
USD/THB (Onshore) |
31.40 |
31.35 |
31.50 |
Sideway |
Buy USD near support |
|
USD/JPY |
80.32 |
80.00 |
80.60 |
Sideway |
Sell USD near resistance |
|
EUR/USD |
1.2729 |
1.2700 |
1.2770 |
Sideway |
Sell EUR near resistance |
|
EUR/THB |
40.5803 |
39.60 |
40.30 |
Sideway |
Sell EUR near resistance |
|
JPY/THB |
0.4058 |
0.3890 |
0.3940 |
Sideway |
Buy JPY near support |